The curve is still going up and we are closely monitoring the situation about the pandemic in Pakistan. While we have not witnessed any decrease in potential cases we highly suspect the curve keep going up until some where around end of 3rd week of April i.e. 17th april 2020.
Pakistan has crossed the 2000 figure of confirmed cases by now , and we have the province wise figures available dated 30th march :
Until now we do not have any district wise data arranged for future forecasting but keeping in view the population density , life style , living sources , transportation ,human activity ,climate in different areas of Pakistan , we suspect the Gujranwala region in general to get the highest hit by the deadly pandemic .
Specifically talking , we can suspect District Gujrat , District Gujranwala , District Rahim Yar Khan to be the district with highest cases of Novel Corona Virus.
Currently only around 2000 of such cases have shown up , while it is suspected that Pakistan is likely to hit 100k + cases in two weeks time.
The virus which normally shows symptoms in 14 days, so if someone catches is likely to get positive test result after 2 weeks , which provides him a good time of 14 days to infect other people, and the chain reaction goes on.
This two and half weeks time starting from 1st april , uptil 17th april 2020 is going to be high impact time.
Some scientists suspect the virus to loose its power by increase in temperature and reduction in the humidity.
We have put in place some forecasts for the outbreak (NOT IN SCALE) , just some suspected cases.
My covid19 prediction no 1
Soon we shall be uploading a calculated forecasts of outbreak.
Appeal :
Any one who has district wise data , kindly share it with us using the Contact Us Page.
#stayHome #letsFlattenTheCurve #covid19 #prayToGod
[All the future suspected numbers and forecasts are purely based on personal study , and are not any official figures.]
References :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_pandemic_data/Pakistan_medical_cases
https://covidwatch.pk/
Thankyou https://covidwatch.pk/ , http://covid.gov.pk/stats/pakistan , https://covid-19.pk/ for wonderful work you are doing
